Title:
Analysis and forecasting of Export of ICT equipment in OECD countries
Abstract: This paper examines comparative advantage share
of ICT export and its development across OECD countries between 1996 and
2004. We determine the ICT export intensity and the share of ICT export of
each country in total export of OECD and calculate Revealed Comparative Advantage
(RCA) using OECD export of ICT goods data. The results suggest that despite
of significant changes in ICT export of OECD countries during the 1990- 2004,
the pattern of revealed comparative advantage has remained almost stable
for some special countries. We forecast the Balassa indexes for export of
ICT goods in OECD countries and evaluate these forecasting.